Wholesale inflation is flashing a warning sign for supply chain leaders. U.S. producer prices rose 1.4% in April from the prior month, the largest monthly increase since March 2022. Meanwhile, energy prices are projected to surge at least 24% this year, and prices for base metals including aluminum, copper and tin are also expected to reach all-time highs.
At the same time, demand remains uneven. Some sectors are slowing, while others, especially those tied to AI infrastructure, data centers, electrification and renewable energy, continue to pull hard on materials, power and logistics capacity.
That leaves CSCOs on the front line of a second-half cost challenge. According to Gartner research, 71% of CSCOs are focused on controlling costs in the short term, yet only 21% are confident they can deliver against cost management expectations over that same horizon.
Today, many CSCOs see cost management as a delicate dance of managing relationships with peers and expectations from executive leadership. They do their best to build consensus by being accommodating to preserve goodwill. Those instincts matter. No supply chain leader succeeds by alienating peers. In the current market, however, consensus alone can become a polite route to poor outcomes.
Gartner research points to a more durable model: the assertive advocate CSCO. These leaders collaborate with their peers, while also building process guardrails and demonstrating the P&L impact of different business decisions. Assertive advocates are more than twice as likely as consensus-builders to drive sustained cost excellence.
For CSCOs facing historic cost increases, the objective is clear: sustained cost excellence requires more than influence. It requires challenging unrealistic cost targets, reshaping decisions before costs are locked in, and making trade-offs visible before the business pays for them.
Why consensus breaks down under pressure
The consensus-builder model often fails because it accepts the cost target before the trade-off has been understood. Sixty-one percent of consensus-builder CSCOs accepted aspirational or aggressive CFO-set targets in the past 12 months to be a “team player,” compared with only 21% of assertive advocate CSCOs, according to a Gartner survey.
That difference changes enterprise decisions. Consider an industrial manufacturer that depends on aluminum, copper and energy-intensive components. Input costs are rising just as customers are resisting price increases. Commercial leaders may want to preserve every service promise to protect revenue, while finance pushes for lower working capital and operations is asked to reduce inventory or consolidate shipments. Each request may be reasonable in isolation. Together, they can create stockouts, missed delivery windows or expedited freight costs that erase the intended savings.
An assertive advocate CSCO forces that discussion into the open. If inventory is reduced, which service commitments become harder to meet? If shipments are combined to reduce transportation costs, which delivery windows stretch? The goal is to make these consequences visible before the decision is made.
Cost authority starts with the P&L
A CSCO cannot credibly challenge a cost target with operational anecdotes. They must make this argument in the language the CEO and CFO already use: the P&L. To drive impact, CSCOs need to show their contribution beyond cost avoidance by connecting performance to margin.
For example, a supply chain organization managing ocean freight this year may not be able to claim a simple year-over-year reduction if rates remain elevated by fuel surcharges, route disruption or capacity uncertainty. It can separate finance-recognized savings from avoided costs though.
If, for example, comparable shipping lanes become more expensive because of bunker fuel, insurance or Red Sea-related disruption, but the company’s negotiated rates increase less than the market, the CSCO can show how procurement and network decisions helped protect margins.
Put supply chain expertise where decisions happen
Many cost problems stem from areas outside of the supply chain function’s direct control. A sales team may promise expedited delivery to hold revenue in a softening segment. A product team may approve a design that increases exposure to copper or aluminum at an inopportune point in the commodity cycle. A regional business may commit to a supplier that looks cheaper on unit price, but requires longer lead times, higher safety stock or more expensive transportation. By the time supply chain absorbs the cost, the decision has already hardened into a customer promise, product spec or sourcing commitment.
Assertive advocacy inserts supply chain knowledge directly into these cross-functional decision points. An organization could create a rule for new customer contracts: any delivery model that requires nonstandard fulfillment must be reviewed against transportation and inventory implications before the deal is approved. The value is a guardrail that prevents hidden costs from being priced too late.
The fear among CSCOs is that assertiveness will add burden to teams already stretched thin. Gartner’s research suggests the opposite can happen when guardrails are designed well. Decision tools and scenario models can reduce firefighting by helping teams see trade-offs earlier.
The next phase of cost leadership
As cost pressures build heading into the second half of the year, CSCOs will need to do more than manage costs. They will need to help protect profits before rising input, freight and energy costs erode margins.
The assertive advocate CSCO brings evidence, decision discipline and P&L visibility into the enterprise before costs are locked in. That posture may be the difference between absorbing the next cost shock and preventing it from becoming a margin crisis.
Benjamin and other Gartner analysts are providing further analysis on this topic at the Gartner Supply Chain Symposium/Xpo, taking place this week in Barcelona, Spain, May 18-20. Follow news and updates from the conferences on X using #GartnerSC.
About the author
Benjamin Jury is a director analyst for Gartner’s Supply Chain Practice. He leads and contributes to research projects that address chief supply chain officers’ (CSCOs’) key priorities.
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