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The future state of factories and plants over the next 10 years: How will they be organized and operated?

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This is an excerpt of the original article. It was written for the July-August 2018 edition of Supply Chain Management Review. The full article is available to current subscribers.

July-August 2018

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I have been a member of the Manufacturing Leadership Council’s Board of Governors since 2010. Last September the council asked if I would be willing to do a phone interview for research it was conducting for a factories of the future study* sponsored by two of its manufacturing company members: GE and Intel. I agreed. I’m always happy to give an opinion about the future of supply chains since having launched the MIT Supply Chain 2020 Project in 2004, and often think 10 years to 15 years into the future.

The first topic I discussed with the researchers dealt with the future state of factories and plants over the next 10 years: How will they be organized and operated? I told them that my perspective is based on “Small Is Beautiful,” a thought-provoking book by the economist Ernst F. Schumacher that I read more than 40 years ago.**

“Small is Beautiful” for the earth

My main takeaway from the book is that the ideal future manufacturing model has to be natural resource efficient. That is one in which goods ought to be sourced and made as close as possible to end-consumers. Back in the day, our “modern manufacturing model” encompassed building large plants to service large swaths of the earth in order to get manufacturing economies of scale. Huge efforts were required to build them and then source them with commodities from distant locations. In addition, the so-called “last-mile” delivery of finished goods to end consumers too often meant the “last thousand miles” or more.

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From the July-August 2018 edition of Supply Chain Management Review.

July-August 2018

At Supply Chain Management Review, we’ve been writing about the talent crisis in our profession since at least 2012 when our MIT contributors were publishing a column on talent strategies. Last winter, the topic…
Browse this issue archive.
Access your online digital edition.
Download a PDF file of the July-August 2018 issue.

SCMR1807_C_InSights.pdf”> Download Article PDF

I have been a member of the Manufacturing Leadership Council's Board of Governors since 2010. Last September the council asked if I would be willing to do a phone interview for research it was conducting for a factories of the future study* sponsored by two of its manufacturing company members: GE and Intel. I agreed. I'm always happy to give an opinion about the future of supply chains since having launched the MIT Supply Chain 2020 Project in 2004, and often think 10 years to 15 years into the future.

The first topic I discussed with the researchers dealt with the future state of factories and plants over the next 10 years: How will they be organized and operated? I told them that my perspective is based on “Small Is Beautiful,” a thought-provoking book by the economist Ernst F. Schumacher that I read more than 40 years ago.**

“Small is Beautiful” for the earth

My main takeaway from the book is that the ideal future manufacturing model has to be natural resource efficient. That is one in which goods ought to be sourced and made as close as possible to end-consumers. Back in the day, our “modern manufacturing model” encompassed building large plants to service large swaths of the earth in order to get manufacturing economies of scale. Huge efforts were required to build them and then source them with commodities from distant locations. In addition, the so-called “last-mile” delivery of finished goods to end consumers too often meant the “last thousand miles” or more.

SCMR1807_C_InSights.pdf”> SUBSCRIBERS: Click here to download PDF of the full article.

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About the Author

Larry Lapide, Research Affiliate
Larry Lapide's Bio Photo

Dr. Lapide is a lecturer at the University of Massachusetts’ Boston Campus and is an MIT Research Affiliate. He received the inaugural Lifetime Achievement in Business Forecasting & Planning Award from the Institute of Business Forecasting & Planning. Dr. Lapide can be reached at: [email protected].

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